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[分享创造] 一种 SNS 话题池流量的费米估算方法

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用“费米估计法”估算得到,“游戏玩家的日常”圈子的自然流量,数量级大概是 400fo 。

省流:同样的内容发小红书和即刻,假设点赞率(内容质量)相同,可以估算多少人在即刻看了我的内容。

更精确的做法是,通过两个数据点外推,就是我的两条杀戮尖塔推文,再加上一些基于指标物理意义的内插,最终得到了结论。全程只用到小学数学。

半夜里睡不着,灵光一现的结果。计算方式在下面白纸里面,有人感兴趣我就写篇博文详细讲。

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我是镭射眼…哈利,这玩意可比理论物理好用多了。

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图在即刻,包括用到的数据,和手推的几个公式。
链接:

https://m.okjike.com/originalPosts/6672013f9e2e9fda021d1027?s=ewoidSI6ICI2NjQ5NmRhYmUzZjdlZTNjZjhhZWViYzQiCn0=

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